Record day 2018 bets

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The Jonster
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by The Jonster »

Can i bet Plum's username that I flop?
Always be true to yourself.
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The Jonster
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by The Jonster »

Just kidding bro. I'm so sleepy at this point I'm most likely going to start posting nonsense. :?
Always be true to yourself.
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PluMGMK
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by PluMGMK »

Well, the rest of us will probably be tired enough to make sense of your nonsense. :lol:
LoveMetal
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by LoveMetal »

A simple linear regression for the post nb per hour was working quite well as a quantitative indicator for the previous years.
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PluMGMK
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by PluMGMK »

I thought you used to do polynomial regressions?
LoveMetal
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by LoveMetal »

I don't exactly remember actually. :oops2:

But I think that we tried to find what model would have been the better without too much overfitting with Hunch, so we probably tried poly regressions.
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Hunchman801
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Hunchman801 »

The actual post count is currently 17% more than the counter.
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Hunchman801
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Hunchman801 »

Now I wonder if we should bet on the actual count or what the counter shows.
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LoveMetal
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by LoveMetal »

We want flash stats on all the posters!
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Hunchman801
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Hunchman801 »

Shouldn't it be kept secret? :o
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PluMGMK
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by PluMGMK »

Until the end, to combat complacency? I think that particular horse has bolted, and is probably in Russia by now!
Hunchman801
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Hunchman801 »

Hunchman801 wrote:Now I wonder if we should bet on the actual count or what the counter shows.
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LoveMetal
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by LoveMetal »

On the counter, since it is the only information available to all.

Or, you can fix the goddamn counter. :mrgreen:
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Hunchman801
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Hunchman801 »

Guys, the first round of bets has begun!
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LoveMetal
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by LoveMetal »

Let's say 11450.
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Hunchman801
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Hunchman801 »

I'll go with 11876 myself.
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Ambidextroid
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by Ambidextroid »

I don't think I've ever understood how these bets work
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LoveMetal
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Re: Record day 2018 bets

Post by LoveMetal »

I wonder what kind of regression you did there.
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