Record day 2018 bets

[The Jonster]

Can i bet Plum's username that I flop?

[PluMGMK]

Wh-what does that mean?

[The Jonster]

Just kidding bro. I'm so sleepy at this point I'm most likely going to start posting nonsense.

[PluMGMK]

Well, the rest of us will probably be tired enough to make sense of your nonsense.

[LoveMetal]

A simple linear regression for the post nb per hour was working quite well as a quantitative indicator for the previous years.

[PluMGMK]

I thought you used to do polynomial regressions?

[LoveMetal]

I don't exactly remember actually.

But I think that we tried to find what model would have been the better without too much overfitting with Hunch, so we probably tried poly regressions.

[Hunchman801]

The actual post count is currently 17% more than the counter.

[PluMGMK]

Ah well.

[Hunchman801]

Now I wonder if we should bet on the actual count or what the counter shows.

[LoveMetal]

We want flash stats on all the posters!

[Hunchman801]

Shouldn't it be kept secret?

[PluMGMK]

Until the end, to combat complacency? I think that particular horse has bolted, and is probably in Russia by now!

[Hunchman801]

Now I wonder if we should bet on the actual count or what the counter shows.

[LoveMetal]

On the counter, since it is the only information available to all.

Or, you can fix the goddamn counter.

[Hunchman801]

Guys, the first round of bets has begun!

[LoveMetal]

Let's say 11450.

[Hunchman801]

I'll go with 11876 myself.

[Ambidextroid]

I don't think I've ever understood how these bets work

[LoveMetal]

I wonder what kind of regression you did there.