Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:29 pm
Can i bet Plum's username that I flop?
Rayman Pirate-Community
Record day 2018 bets
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Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:31 pm
Wh-what does that mean?
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:32 pm
Just kidding bro. I'm so sleepy at this point I'm most likely going to start posting nonsense. 
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:33 pm
Well, the rest of us will probably be tired enough to make sense of your nonsense. 
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:36 pm
A simple linear regression for the post nb per hour was working quite well as a quantitative indicator for the previous years.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:38 pm
I thought you used to do polynomial regressions?
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:51 pm
I don't exactly remember actually. 
But I think that we tried to find what model would have been the better without too much overfitting with Hunch, so we probably tried poly regressions.
But I think that we tried to find what model would have been the better without too much overfitting with Hunch, so we probably tried poly regressions.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:54 pm
The actual post count is currently 17% more than the counter.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:56 pm
Ah well. 
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:58 pm
Now I wonder if we should bet on the actual count or what the counter shows.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 2:59 pm
We want flash stats on all the posters!
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 3:06 pm
Shouldn't it be kept secret? 
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 3:45 pm
Until the end, to combat complacency? I think that particular horse has bolted, and is probably in Russia by now!
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 4:10 pm
Hunchman801 wrote:Now I wonder if we should bet on the actual count or what the counter shows.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 4:16 pm
On the counter, since it is the only information available to all.
Or, you can fix the goddamn counter.
Or, you can fix the goddamn counter.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 8:50 pm
Guys, the first round of bets has begun!
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 8:50 pm
Let's say 11450.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 9:03 pm
I'll go with 11876 myself.
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 9:07 pm
I don't think I've ever understood how these bets work
Re: Record day 2018 bets
Posted: Sat Aug 11, 2018 9:07 pm
I wonder what kind of regression you did there.